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Ahmet Baştürk
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1 Slide 1 Dr. Cenk PALA Head of Foreign Relations & Strategies Dept. %27$ù3HWUROHXP3LSHOLQH&RUSRUDWLRQ7XUNH\ TURKEY AS AN ENERGY CORRIDOR BETWEEN THE EAST AND THE WEST ~ Gas To Europe ~

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Slide 2 785.(<,17+(5(,21 MOLDOVA UKRAINE KAZAKHSTAN ROMANIA RU S SIAN FEDERATION Novorossiysk Dzugba Aktau BULGARIA BLACK SEA.

2 Slide (<,17+(5(,21 MOLDOVA UKRAINE KAZAKHSTAN ROMANIA RU S SIAN FEDERATION Novorossiysk Dzugba Aktau BULGARIA BLACK SEA.ÕUNODUHOL GEORGIA GREECE østanbul Edirne Çan Bursa Karacabey Kütahya $OLD D Turgutlu 8úDN øzmir Burdur 0X OD.(UH OLVL Karabük Samsun Ordu Trabzon Artvin Giresun Rize øzmit Amasya Ankara.ÕUÕNNDOH P úkdqh Bayburt Erzincan Erzurum.ÕUúHKLU (VNLúHKLU Sivas (OD]Õ Afyon Kayseri Malatya $GÕ\DPDQ Batman Silopi Aksaray Konya.DKUDPDQPDUDú 1L GH Isparta 6H\GLúHKLU (UH OL Karaman Mersin Gaziantep Dörtyol Antalya Ceyhan ARMENIA CASPIAN SEA AZERBAIJAN Baku TURKMENISTAN Turmenbashi Hatay SYRIA MEDITERRANEAN IRAQ IRAN Natural Gas Pipelines Existing Lines Planned, Tendered and Under Construc. Crude Oil Pipelines Existing Lines Planned, Under Construction

$ÕUÕNNDOH P úkdqh Bayburt Erzincan Erzurum.ÕUúHKLU (VNLúHKLU Sivas (OD]Õ Afyon Kayseri Malatya $GÕ\DPDQ Batman Silopi Aksaray Konya.$

3 Slide 3 1$785$/$63,3(/,1(6<67(0,1785.(< LNG (Algeria + Nigeria) BU LGARIA GRE ECE 5.2 BCM 14 BCM Alia a Manisa øzmir Russian Fed (West 6 BCM+ Turusgaz 8 BCM) CS-1 AydÕn Turgutlu Mu la Uúak Denizli Burdur Afyon Antalya Isparta Konya 16 Seydiúehir BLACK SEA Kofçaz KÕrklareli Edirne Zonguldak CS-2 BartÕn østanbul Ere li 36 Çaycuma Samsun CS-3øzmit 16 M.Ere lisi 30 ÇankÕrÕ 18 Bolu CS-4 Sakarya Amasya Çan 36 Çorum Tokat Çanakkale 16 Karacabey Bursa Bilecik CS-5 Ankara Yozgat 20 KÕrÕkkale Sivas YapracÕk BalÕkesir Kütahya Eskiúehir 16 MEDITERRANEAN Existing Imports (Plateau Period) Contracted Gas Volumes Planned Gas Volumes Ere li Karaman KÕrúehir Nevúehir Aksaray Ni de Kayseri Adana 40 Ceyhan Mersin Kahramanmaraú L E BANON Malatya Araban Gaziantep Dörtyol øskenderun Hatay SYRIA Egypt 4 BCM L E BANON Russian Fed (Blue Stream) BCM Ordu Giresun Gümüúhane ElazÕ AdÕyaman Bozova ùanlõurfa Trabzon Erzincan Rize Bayburt DiyarbakÕr Artvin Erzurum Batman Existing Lines Mardin Under Construction Tendered Lines Planned Lines Azerbaijan GEORGIA Ardahan Horasan A rõ ùõrnak Silopi Kars Marmara Ereglisi LNG Terminal Van Planned Underground Storages 6.6 BCM Turkmenistan I dõr Do ubayazõt IRAQ 10 BCM ARMENIA IRAN CS 16 BCM 10 BCM Iran Iraq

Zonguldak CS-2 BartÕn østanbul Ere li 36 Çaycuma Samsun CS-3øzmit 16 M.

4 Slide 4 1$785$/$6,1785.(< 1DWXUDODV6XSSO\&RQWUDFWVRI%27$ù Ã Q L R W D U H S 2 Q, Ã Ã 0D[&DSDFLW\ %&0<HDU 7HUP <HDU 5XVVLDQ)HG:HVW Ã Ã 6WDUW Ã )LQLVK Ã $OJHULD/1 Ã Ã Ã Ã 5XVVLDQ)HG 7XUXVJD] Ã Ã Ã Ã 1LJHULD/1 Ã Ã Ã Ã 5XVVLDQ)HG %OXH6WUHDP,UDQ Ã Ã 'HFÃÃ Ã Ã Ã )HEÃÃ Ã 7XUNPHQLVWDQ Ã Ã ÃÃ Ã $]HUEDLMDQ Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã 7RWDO Domestic Transmission and Distribution System of Turkey: Existing System Under Construction Planned 4700 kms 2400 kms 1000 kms

Ã 6WDUW Ã )LQLVK Ã $OJHULD/1 Ã Ã Ã Ã 5XVVLDQ)HG 7XUXVJD] Ã Ã Ã Ã 1LJHULD/1 Ã Ã Ã Ã 5XVVLDQ)HG %OXH6WUHDP,UDQ

5 Slide 5 0$-25%27$û$6$&7,9,7,(6,17+(&20,1<($56 LNG (Algeria + Nigeria) BU LGARIA GRE ECE 5.2 BCM 14 BCM Alia a Manisa øzmir Russian Fed (West 6 BCM+ Turusgaz 8 BCM) CS-1 AydÕn Turgutlu Mu la Uúak Denizli Burdur Afyon Antalya Isparta Konya 16 Seydiúehir BLACK SEA Kofçaz KÕrklareli Edirne Zonguldak CS-2 BartÕn østanbul Ere li 36 Çaycuma Samsun CS-3øzmit 16 M.Ere lisi 30 ÇankÕrÕ 18 Bolu CS-4 Sakarya Amasya Çan 36 Çorum Tokat Çanakkale 16 Karacabey Bursa Bilecik CS-5 Ankara Yozgat 20 KÕrÕkkale Sivas YapracÕk BalÕkesir Kütahya Eskiúehir 16 MEDITERRANEAN Existing Imports (Plateau Period) Contracted Gas Volumes Planned Gas Volumes Ere li Karaman KÕrúehir Nevúehir Aksaray Ni de Kayseri Adana 40 Ceyhan Mersin Kahramanmaraú L E BANON Malatya Araban Gaziantep Dörtyol øskenderun Hatay SYRIA Egypt 4 BCM L E BANON Russian Fed (Blue Stream) BCM Ordu Giresun Gümüúhane ElazÕ AdÕyaman Bozova ùanlõurfa Trabzon Erzincan Rize Bayburt DiyarbakÕr Artvin Erzurum Batman Existing Lines Mardin Under Construction Tendered Lines Planned Lines Azerbaijan GEORGIA Ardahan Horasan A rõ ùõrnak Silopi Kars Marmara Ereglisi LNG Terminal Van Planned Underground Storages 6.6 BCM Turkmenistan I dõr Do ubayazõt IRAQ 10 BCM ARMENIA IRAN CS 16 BCM 10 BCM Iran Iraq

$SYRIA ARMENIA IRAQ AZERBAIJAN IRAN TURKMENISTAN AFGHANIS TAN EGYPT 9 %RWDú'HSD(GLVRQDV 9 EFPWRUHHFHDQG,WDO\ILUVWFDOFXODWLRQV 9$

6 Slide 6 DVWR(XURSH ROMANIA MOLDOVA UKRAINE RUS SIAN FEDERATION KAZAKHS TAN CASPIAN BULGARIA BLACKSEA GEORGIA UZBEKISTAN 5((&( MEDITERRANEAN TURKEY $672(8523(9,$5((&( SYRIA ARMENIA IRAQ AZERBAIJAN IRAN TURKMENISTAN AFGHANIS TAN EGYPT 9 %RWDú'HSD(GLVRQDV 9 EFPWRUHHFHDQG,WDO\ILUVWFDOFXODWLRQV 9 6WDUWZLWKODWHIRUUHHFHWRUHDFKSODWHDXFDSDFLW\LQ

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7 Slide 7 20(678'< Assessment of Internal and External Gas Supply Options for the EU, Evaluation of the Supply Costs of New Natural Gas Supply Projects to the EU and an Investigation of Related Financial Requirements and Tools

Costs of New Natural Gas Supply Projects to the EU and

8 Slide 8 (8523(DV'HPDQG3URGXFWLRQDQG,PSRUW1HHG European Gas Demand EU EU-30 EU Bcm EU-15 EU EU Bcm European Import Needs Production Import EU-15 EU-30 EU-15 EU-30 EU-15 EU Source: Study by OME -Observatoire Mediterraneen de L energie under EU ETAP Programme 42 % 55 % 67 % 35 % 43 % 55 % import dependence

Production Import 427 277 162 162 276 401 224 300 365 224 350 196 EU-15 EU-30 EU-15 EU-30 EU-15 EU-30 1999 2010 2020

9 Slide 9 DV6XSSO\&RVWVDQG1HWEDFN9DOXHVDW( Netback Value 2020 (25/$bbl)= 3.73 $/mmbtu $/mmbtu Transit Fee Transport Production Ð Ð Ð Ð Ð Ð Russia Yamal via Baltic Oman LNG Trinidad&Tobago LNG Venezuela LNG Nigeria LNG UAE LNG Iran LNG Yemen LNG Qatar LNG Russia Barents Sea-Baltic Sea Libya LNG Turkmenistan via Russia/Ukraine Russia Yamal via Belarus Egypt LNG Russia-NadymPurTaz via Baltic Russia-NadymPurTaz via Ukraine Algeria-LNG Turkmenistan via Iran Norway-Norwegian Sea-Pipe Russia-NadymPurTaz via Belarus Norway-North Sea Satellites-Pipe UK Turkmenistan via Caspian Sea Libya via pipe to Sicily Algeria via Transmed Russia-Volga Ural via Ukraine Russia-Volga Ural via Blue Stream Egypt via pipe to Turkey Algeria via Sardinia-Corsica Iran via Turkey Algeria via GME Azerbaijan via Turkey Iraq via Turkey Algeria via Medgaz new projects Source: OME Study for EU

$Slide 10 6XSSO\&RVWIRU1HZDV'HOLYHU\WR(8PPEWX Yamal-RUSSIA 3.31 Nadym-Pur-Taz-RUSSIA 2.79 1.92 Volga Ural-RUSSIA 2.55 KAZAKHS TAN RUS SIAN FEDERATION CASPIAN SEA BLACKSEA Ankara TURKEY GEORGIA 2.$

10 Slide 10 6XSSO\&RVWIRU1HZDV'HOLYHU\WR(8PPEWX Yamal-RUSSIA 3.31 Nadym-Pur-Taz-RUSSIA Volga Ural-RUSSIA 2.55 KAZAKHS TAN RUS SIAN FEDERATION CASPIAN SEA BLACKSEA Ankara TURKEY GEORGIA 2.05 ARMENIA AZERBAIJAN 2.12 TURKMENISTAN 1.97 SYRIA 2.17 IRAN MEDITERRANEAN SEA IRAQ 9 Supply Cost=Production+ transport+transit fee (excludes the royalties of producer Costs exclude the royalties of producer countries countries) 9 Netback price that EU-15 consumers are willing to pay at max is 3.81 (@25 $/bbl) in A study is being performed to determine the transmission fees within Turkey for both domestic and export purposes UZBEKISTAN AFGHANIS TAN Source: OME-Observatoire Mediterraneen de L energie study under EU ETAP Programme

17 IRAN MEDITERRANEAN SEA IRAQ 9 Supply Cost=Production+ transport+transit fee (excludes the royalties of producer Costs exclude the royalties of producer countries countries) 9

Slide 11 DVWR(XURSH ROMANIA MOLDOVA UKRAINE RUS SIAN FEDERATION KAZAKHS TAN $6 5 20$1 7 2 BULGARIA BLACKSEA GEORGIA UZBEKISTAN CASPIAN (, $+81 8523(9,$ $5<$ % 8/$ GREECE TURKEY

11 Slide 11 DVWR(XURSH ROMANIA MOLDOVA UKRAINE RUS SIAN FEDERATION KAZAKHS TAN $6 5 20$1 7 2 BULGARIA BLACKSEA GEORGIA UZBEKISTAN CASPIAN (, $ (9,$ $5<$ % 8/$ GREECE TURKEY 8 675,$ 5,$ MEDITERRANEAN SYRIA ARMENIA IRAQ AZERBAIJAN IRAN TURKMENISTAN AFGHANIS TAN EGYPT 9 %RWDú%XOJDUJD]7UDQVJD]02/209(UGJDV 9 EFPWDUJHWPDUNHWILUVWFDOFXODWLRQV 9 6WDUWZLWK

8 675,$ 5,$ MEDITERRANEAN SYRIA ARMENIA IRAQ AZERBAIJAN IRAN TURKMENISTAN AFGHANIS TAN

12 Slide 12 $672(8523($Q,QGLFDWLYH0DS6KRZLQJ3UREDEOH5RXWHV

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