Second Sarajevo International Conference on EU Integration & Balkan Countries. May 17-20, 2016 International University of Sarajevo PROCEEDINGS BOOK

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1 Second Sarajevo International Conference on EU Integration & Balkan Countries May 17-20, 2016 International of Sarajevo PROCEEDINGS BOOK Volume 3 (Turkish Bosnian/Serbian/Croatian)

2 Second Sarajevo International Conference on EU Integration & Balkan Countries Publisher Dobra knjiga, Sarajevo Editor Recai Aydin Layout art studio DK Print Dobra knjiga, Sarajevo Organization Committee Dr. Recai Aydın, International of Sarajevo & Turkish Police Academy Dr. Azra Branković, International of Sarajevo Dr. Emil Knezović, International of Sarajevo Mr. Abdülhamit Bolat, International of Sarajevo Articles in this book were reviewed by the members of Conference Scientific Committee whose names are listed in the next page CIP - Katalogizacija u publikaciji Nacionalna i univerzitetska biblioteka Bosne i Hercegovine, Sarajevo (497):061.1EU(063)(082) SARAJEVO International Conference on EU Integration & Balkan Countries (2nd ; 2016 ; Sarajevo) EU integration & Balkan countries. Vol. 3 (Turkish/Bosnian/Serbian/Croatian) : proceedings book / Second Sarajevo International Conference on EU Integration & Balkan Countries, May 17-20, 2016 International of Sarajevo. - Sarajevo : Dobra knjiga, str. : graf. prikazi ; 24 cm ISBN (Vol. 1-3) ISBN (Vol. 3) COBISS.BH-ID

3 Scientific Committee Dr. Barton A. Smith, of Houston Dr. Mehmet Can, International of Sarajevo Dr. Abdulkadir Buluş, Necmettin Erbakan Dr. Charles L. Allen, Lamar Dr. Zlatan Meskić, of Zenica Dr. Roger Morefield, of St. Thomas Dr. Ali Pajaziti, Southeast European Dr. Metin Toprak, Istanbul Dr. Rovshan Guliev, Baku State Dr. İsmail H. Genç, American of Sharjah Dr. Celil Aydın, Muş Alparslan Dr. Abdurrahim Sıradağ, King Fahd of Petrol and Minerals Dr. İrfan Arıkan, of Applied Sciences Krems Dr. Snezana Bilic-Sotiroska, International Balkan Dr. Hasan Korkut, International of Sarajevo Dr. Mehmet Ali Tekiner, Turkish Police Academy Dr. Goran Šimić, International of Sarajevo Dr. Georgi Marinov, Varna of Economics Dr. Mustafa Acar, Necmettin Erbakan Dr. Ali Güneş, Karabük Dr. Dževad Drino, of Zenica Dr. Alexander Shivarov, Varna of Economics Dr. Metin Aksoy, Selcuk Dr. Mevludin Ibish, International Balkan Dr. Arif Ersoy, İstanbul Sabahattin Zaim Üniversity Dr. Maria Stanimirova, Varna of Economics Dr. Ana Nikodinovska, Goce Delcev Dr. Idris A. Rai, State of Zanzibar Dr. Hüseyin Yılmaz, George Mason Dr. Sultan Hasan Al Hazmi, Jazan Dr. Issa Ziddy, State of Zanzibar Dr. Mary Mtumwa Khatib, Dar Es Salam Dr. Joseph J. Kaminski, International of Sarajevo Dr. Hristo Mavrov, Varna of Economics

4 FOREWORD The 2 nd Sarajevo International Conference on Social Sciences with the theme of EU Integration and Balkan Countries organized by Faculty of Business and Administration at the International of Sarajevo, will be held in May 17-20, 2016 in Sarajevo, Bosnia-Herzegovina. The conference aims at bringing together international scholars and researchers in the areas of economics, finance, business studies, international relations, political science and other social sciences, in order to offer a forum for dialogue and exchange of recent research findings and ideas related to the challenges faced by Balkan countries in the time global economic crisis. Therefore, the theme for the conference is selected as EU Integration and Balkan Countries. Since the beginning of the recent global economic crisis, growth and economic prospects in Balkan economies have fallen strongly. European integration is still the central strategic goal for all Western Balkan countries. The goal for EU has been to bring the former republics of Yugoslavia and Albania into EU and hence to stabilize the region while for the Balkan countries the goal has been to use the EU process to build modern and functional states. The conference aims to discuss the current status of this integration process and challenges faced. The Scientific and Organization Committees are formed from different Universities worldwide. Also, two distinguished keynote speakers are invited to the Conference. We received a large number of applications that has given us the opportunity to choose the best ones to reach the higher scientific level. I would like to thank to all participants for their enthusiasm to contribute to this project and their willingness both to keep to tight deadlines and to accept editorial recommendations; to all the Scientific and Organization Committee members, for their patience, support and tolerance. We also thank to the keynote speakers, who share their scientific knowledge with us. Special thanks are for Rector of International of Sarajevo, Prof. Dr. Yücel Oğurlu for his enormous and valuable support. We have been fortunate to have the support of the excellent scholars and authors. We hope to see you in the third, fourth, fifth International Sarajevo Conferences. Sincerely Yours, Dr. Hasan Korkut, Conference Chair Dean of Faculty of Business and Administration International of Sarajevo

5 TABLE OF CONTENTS Türkiye Enerji Merkezi Olur mu? 1 Dr. Erdal Tanas Karagöl Bayezci Analiz Yaklaşımı ile Türkiye Ekonomisi 2023 Projeksiyonu 15 Dr. Mesut Murat Arslan, Dr. Fatma Özgü Serttaş ve Dr. Recai Aydın Tezkirelere Göre Osmanlı Döneminde Balkanlarda Yetişen Şairler 31 Dr. Müberra Gürgendereli İtalyan Medyasında Oryantalist Sanatın İzleri 53 Nesli Tuğban Yaban Öğretmen Adaylarının Çokkültürlü Eğitime Yönelik Tutumlarının Çeşitli Değişkenler Açısından İncelenmesi 69 Melehat Gezer Markaya Yönelik İnançların Üniversite Öğrencilerinin Satın Alma Niyetlerine Etkisi 79 Dr. Derya Fatma Biçer ve Dr. Hatice Aydın Vakıflar Para Vakıfları; Kırklareli ve Bolu Para Vakıfları Üzerine Bir Değerlendirme 99 Yakup Özsaraç ve Yunus Emre Aydınbaş Türkiye de Koalisyon Hükümetleri, Siyasi İstikrar ve Ekonomik Kalkınma 117 Dr. Murat Aktaş ve Dr. Adem Levent Araştırmalarda Doğrusal Olmayan İlişkilere Veri Mühendisliği Yaklaşımı 133 Dr. Murat Kayri Avrupa Bütünü İçinde Balkan Özellikleri (Osmanlı İdaresinden Avrupa Birliğine Uzanan Balkanlar) 143 Refki Taç Makroekonomik Belirsizlik ve Risk Altında Yatırım Kararları: Türkiye Örneği 167 Dr. Celil Aydın ve Dr. Fatma Gündoğdu Odabaşıoğlu

6 Bir Kosova Türk Masalı: Çatçat Dağın Suyi Gösterge Bilimsel Çözümleme Denemesi 187 Dr. Lokman Turan ve Hüseyin Öztürk ABD-Suudi İlişkilerindeki Kırılma 211 Dr. Abdullah Kıran Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımlar ve İhracat İlişkisi: Geçiş Ekonomileri Üzerine Ekonometrik Bir Analiz ( ) 223 Dr. Mustafa Kemal Değer ve Muharrem Akın Doğanay Türkiye de Dini Oluşumların Varlık Sebepleri ve Bu Oluşumların İç Güvenlik Açısından Değerlendirilmesi 235 Dr. Hüseyin Arslan Fransa nın İzlediği Nükleer Faaliyetler ve Politikaların AB ve ABD Güvenlik Politikalarına Etkisi 257 Yusuf Yıldırım Küreselleşen Genç İşsizlik Sorununun, Türkiye deki Durumunun İstatistiklerle Değerlendirilmesi 278 Dr. Necati Kayhan ve Kübra Sagun Global Risk Algısının Gelişmekte olan Ülke Borsalarına Etkisi 302 Dr. Kemal Eyüboğlu ve Sinem Eyüboğlu Strategija za borbu protiv organizovanog kriminala u BiH 319 Mr. Goran Blagojević Kriminalistički i krivičnopravni aspekti rasvetljavanja i dokazivanja drivičnih dela iznuda 339 Mr. Mladen Vuković Kriminalističko obavještajna djelatnost kantonalnih policijskih agencija u sprečavanju i suzbijanju terorizma 352 Dr. Husein Ljeljak, Dr. Gordan Radić i Sandi Dizdarević, mag. Regulae iuris u presudama Evropskog suda za ljudska prava 369 Dr. Dževad Drino i Benjamina Londrc

7 Uticaj Reforme javne uprave na demokratizaciju institucija BiH 379 Mr. Ljiljana Aulić i Dr. Zoran Kalinić Geopolitika migracija u suvremenom svijetu 387 Dubravka Bošnjak, Marko Šilić i Mia Zmijarević Tradicionalno razumijevanje putopisa i putopisne proze 404 Mirzana Pašić Kodrić Credit Rating Evaluation of Customers Using the Expert System 415 Dr. Azra Branković i Dr. Savo Stupar The Use of Social Media Advertising by B&H Companies 441 Dr. Azra Branković, Dr. Savo Stupar i Mirza Muhić