Emerging Europe Energy Summit ELECTRICITY GENERATION SECTOR IN TURKEY

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1 Emerging Europe Energy Summit 1

2 Contents Development Trend of Turkish Electricity Market Electricity Generation Statistics in Turkey Demand Forecast for Turkey Investment Requirement for Turkey EÜAŞ Power Plants Privatization process in Electricity Generation Plants 2

3 Timeline of Turkish Electricity Market Law of Transfer of Operating Rights (#3096) Law of Build- Operate- Transfer (#3996) Law of Build- Own-Operate (# 4283) Electricity Market Law (# 4628) Energy Strategy Report Communiqué of Financial Settlement Balancing and Settlement Regulation Renewable Energy Law (#5346) Law of Energy Efficiency (#5627) Law of Geothermal Energy (#5686) Law of Nuclear Energy (#5654) Privatization of Generation Companies TEDAŞ TEK TEAŞ Establishment of Energy Market Regulatory Authority %29 Free Market EÜAŞ TEİAŞ TETAŞ Supply Reliability and Quality Regulation August 1, 2006 Balancing and Settlement In Operation Privatization of Distribution Companies %100 Free Market 3

4 Installed Capacity Development in Turkey September

5 Share of Producers in Turkey s Installed Capacity - September 2010 MW EÜAŞ ,6 BO 13,13% Build Own Operate 6.101,8 Generation Companies 9.667,4 EÜAŞ 52,09% Gen. Com. 20,81% Auto Prod. 6,75% Auto Producers 3.134,2 Build Operate Transfer 2.439,4 Transfer of Operation Rights 650,1 BOT TOR Mobile 5,25% 1,40% 0,57% Mobile 262,7 TOTAL ,2 5

6 Share of the Resources in Turkey s Installed Capacity- Sept Hydraulic MW ,3 Geothermal 0,20% Natural Gas ,5 Asphaltite 0,29% Lignite + Hard Coal Others 8.474, ,7 Wind 2,46% Imported Coal 2.081,0 Liquid Fuels 3,41% Liquid Fuels Wind 1.583, ,1 Imported Coal 4,48% Asphaltite 135,0 Others 5,94% Geothermal TOTAL 94, ,2 Lignite + Hard Coal Natural Gas 18,24% 32,38% Hydraulic 32,59% 6

7 Installed Capacity Development For Public and Private Sector MW PUBLIC PRIVATE Increase For Public Sector : Increase For Private Sector : 10,76% 64,57% 7

8 TURKEY ELECTRICITY GENERATION MAP 8

9 G W h Electricity Generation in Turkey Months Real Months Real + 3 Months Programme 3 Months Planned Programme 2010 (9 Months Real + 3 Months Planned Programme) 9

10 Distribution of Electricity Generation of Turkey by Primary Resources (September 2010) MWh Natural Gas Hydraulic Lignite Import Coal Liquid Fuels Wind Hard Coal Geothermal Others Asphaltite Geothermal Hard Coal Wind Liquid Fuels Import Coal Lignite %0,16 %0,43 %0,30 %1,52 %1,20 %2,54 %6,45 %16,98 Asphaltite Hydraulic %26,23 Others T O T A L Natural Gas %44,20 %0 %5 %10 %15 %20 %25 %30 %35 %40 %45 %50 10

11 Share of the Producers in Turkey s Generation (September 2010 ) Transfer of Operation Rights 3.281,4 Build Own Operate ; 21,31% Generation Companies; 17,33% Auto Producers; 6,70% Build Operate Transfer; 6,45% Build-Own-Transfer ,6 Transfer of Operation Rights; %2,08 Auto Producers ,8 EÜAŞ; 46,13% Generation Companies ,2 Build-Own-Operate ,3 EÜAŞ , GWh 11

12 Generation Development For Public and Private Sector GWh PUBLIC PRIVATE September Increase For Public Sector : 41,77% Increase For Private Sector : 35,98% 12

13 EÜAŞ Share in Turkish Electricity Generation GWh ,8% 45,1% 45,3% 47,9% 48,2% TURKEY 49,2% EÜAŞ 45,9% September 46,1% 13

14 EÜAŞ Summary (September / 2010) INSTALLED CAPACITY As of September / 2010; EÜAŞ (with its total installed capacity of MW) provided 52,1% of installed capacity of Turkey. EÜAŞ 52,09% OTHER 47,91% ELECTRICITY GENERATION With its 72,8 billion kwh electricity generation, EÜAŞ provided 46,1% of total Turkish electricity generation. EÜAŞ 46,13% OTHER 53,87% 14

15 EÜAŞ Installed Capacity MW 106 HYDRAULIC PP 19 THERMAL PP 15

16 Distribution of Installed Capacity of EÜAŞ By Primary Resources Natural Gas %16,87 Liquid Fuels %2,81 Hard Coal %1,24 Lignite %30,83 Hydraulic %48,24 16

17 Thermal Power Plants HAMĠTABAT NG Kırklareli AMBARLI Fuel-Oil AMBARLI NG ÇATALAĞZI PP HOPA Fuel-Oil İstanbul Zonguldak Artvin Çanakkale ÇAN PP Bursa Kütahya ORHANELĠ PP BURSA NG SEYĠTÖMER PP TUNÇBĠLEK PP Sivas KANGAL PP ALĠAĞA İzmir Manisa SOMA A SOMA B AFġĠN-ELBĠSTAN A PP AFġĠN-ELBĠSTAN B PP Muğla K. Maraş YENĠKÖY PP YATAĞAN PP KEMERKÖY PP 17

18 Thermal Power Plants Fuel Type MW AFŞİN-ELBİSTAN A Lignite AFŞİN-ELBİSTAN B Lignite SEYİTOMER Lignite 600 KANGAL Lignite 457 TUNÇBİLEK Lignite 365 ÇATALAĞZI Lignite MART ÇAN Lignite 320 ORHANELİ Lignite 210 BURSA Natural Gas AMBARLI Natural Gas ALİAĞA Natural Gas 180 AMBARLI Fuel-Oil 630 HOPA Fuel-Oil 50 ÇUKURCA Diesel-Oil 1 Fuel Type MW HAMİTABAT Natural Gas KEMERKÖY Lignite 630 SOMA A-B Lignite YENİKÖY Lignite 420 YATAĞAN Lignite 630 TOTAL TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY: MW T O T A L

19 Hydraulic Power Plants Aydın KEMER ANTALYA and Surroundings GÖKÇEKAYA DEMĠRKÖPRÜ Manisa Denizli ADIGÜZEL Burdur Antalya EskiĢehir KARACAÖREN ALTINKAYA Hasan-Suat UĞURLU Ankara GEZENDE KırĢehir Ġçel SARIYAR HĠRFANLI MENZELET Adana Samsun Tokat Sivas K.MaraĢ Osmaniye ALMUS- KÖKLÜCE KILIÇKAYA KEBAN ASLANTAġ Giresun ÇATALAN ADANA and Surroundings DOĞANKENT Elazığ ġanlıurfa Rize Diyarbakır KARAKAYA ATATÜRK Eastern Black Sea and Surroundings Van VAN 19

20 EÜAŞ Hydro Power Plants MW ATATÜRK KARAKAYA KEBAN ALTINKAYA 702 HASAN UGURLU 500 GÖKÇEKAYA 278 KARKAMIS 189 OZLUCE 170 ÇATALAN 168 SARIYAR 160 GEZENDE 159 ASLANTAS 138 HIRFANLI 128 MENZELET 124 KILIÇKAYA 120 OTHERS TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY: MW 20

21 Turkey Electric System Actual Peak Time and Energy Demand Peak Time Demand (MW) Increase (%) Energy Demand (GWh) Increase (%) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,0 21

22 Demand Forecast (High Scenario) Peak Time Demand (MW) Increase (%) Energy Demand (GWh) Increase (%) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,4 22

23 Demand Forecast (Low Scenario) Peak Time Demand (MW) Increase (%) Energy Demand (GWh) Increase (%) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,6 23

24 Turkey Electricity Energy Demand Forecasts milyar kwh LOW SCENARIO HIGH SCENARIO ,2 335,8 198,4 194,0 194, HIGH SCENARIO (%7,4) LOW SCENARIO (%6,6) 24

25 Investment Requirements For Meeting the Demand : The Requirement for New Capacity For new capacity: Financing Requirements According to the generation planning, even if 120 billion kwh lignite and 130 billion kwh our hydraulic resources are all used in electricity generation, the demand can not be met against the billion request kwh in the year 2018 foreseen as high scenario. For this reason, as well as domestic lignite and hydraulic resources, diversifying energy sources, investments based on nuclear and renewable energy sources should be accelerated. In order to meet the demand for the year 2018, an investment of 6-8 billion dollars should be made to create additional capacity of MW each year. 25

26 Investment Requirement Between approx MW additional installed capacity is required To reach to this capacity approx. 40. B$ Finance is needed. 26

27 Privatization in Electricity Generation Plants According to the strategy document issued in 2004, portfolio groups have been formed for privatization According to the new strategy document issued on 18 May, 2009, the privatization process will start in the year In accordance with this goal, preperations are carried out by Privatization Office. 27

28 PRIVATIZATION ACTIVITIES FOR EÜAŞ GENERATION PLANTS 27 Hydraulic Power Plants, 18 Thermal Power Plants will be privatized. 28

29 EÜAŞ Thermal PP to be Privatized Name Fuel type Location Installed 2009 Generation MW MWh Çatalağzı Hard coal ZONGULDAK 300, Afşin-Elbistan "A" Lignite K.MARAŞ 1.355, Afşin-Elbistan "B" Lignite K.MARAŞ 1.440, Mart Çan Lignite ÇANAKKALE 320, Orhaneli Lignite BURSA 210, Seyitömer Lignite KÜTAHYA 600, Tunçbilek Lignite KÜTAHYA 365, Kangal Lignite SİVAS 457, Ambarlı Natural Gas İSTANBUL 1.350, Bursa Natural Gas BURSA 1.432, Aliağa Natural Gas İZMİR 180, Ambarlı Fuel-Oil İSTANBUL 630, Hopa Fuel-Oil ARTVİN 50,0 0 EÜAŞ T O T A L 8.689, Hamitabat Natural Gas KIRKLARELİ Soma A+B Lignite MANİSA Kemerköy Lignite MUĞLA Yeniköy Lignite MUĞLA Yatağan Lignite MUĞLA SUBSIDIARIES TOTAL T O T A L ,

30 EÜAŞ Hydraulic PP to be Privatized Name Location Installed Capacity 2009 Generation MW M W h 1 ADIGÜZEL Denizli 62, ALMUS Tokat 27, ALTINKAYA Samsun 702, ASLANTAŞ Osmaniye 138, ÇAMLIGÖZE Sivas 32, ÇATALAN Adana 168, DEMİRKÖPRÜ Manisa 69, DERBENT Samsun 56, GEZENDE İçel 159, GÖKÇEKAYA Eskişehir 278, HASAN UĞURLU Samsun 500, HİRFANLI Kırşehir 128, KAPULUKAYA Kırıkkale 54, KARACAÖREN-I Burdur 32, KARKAMIŞ Gaziantep 189, KEMER Aydın 48, KESİKKÖPRÜ Ankara 76, KILIÇKAYA Sivas 120, KOÇKÖPRÜ Van 8, KÖKLÜCE Tokat 90, KÜRTÜN Gümüşhane 85, MENZELET Kahramanmaraş 124, ÖZLÜCE Elazığ 170, SARIYAR Ankara 160, SUAT UĞURLU Samsun 69, YENİCE Ankara 37, ZERNEK (HOŞAP) Van 3, Number Total Hydraulic PP with Dam to be Privatized 3.588,

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